Market reaction to the debates...
I recently started trading in the Frontline fantasy market:
FRONTLINE: presidential market: home PBS
Bush is up 2.12 there today.
I have 3 shares of Bush and I am shorting 2 shares of Kerry. I'm looking for bargains rather than making partisan bets, though. I own 2 shares of Kerry winning Pennsylvania and I a try to get an order filled for 4 shares of Kerry in Minnesota. I don't necessarily think he will win those states, but I think that the shares are way under-valued as compared to his actual chances.
has Bush -2.5 today.
Iowa Electronic Markets
2004 US Presidential Election Winner Takes All Market Price Graph shows both candidates up.